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Red39
97518.8
60962.3
786515.9
Blue52
56427.5
363213.8
47588.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1937060801001201403952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
5Coral scored#5
17Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
21Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points12
39Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7865
#11
15.90.9
16.317.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 2.0
3632
#17
13.80.2
16.917.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.1
Second
9751
#18
8.80.9
7.48.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0
red by 0.2
4758
#19
8.60.2
10.510.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Third
6096
#20
2.30.9
1.72.7
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
blue by 5.2
5642
#14
7.50.2
9.29.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned