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Red107
609917.2
1057715.5
828044.1
Blue79
719622.3
999112.3
267324.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77580204010012014016010779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
64Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
107Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.12.4
40.943.3
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
red by 19.9
24.21.4
23.825.2
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Second
17.22.4
18.420.8
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 5.1
7196
#13
22.31.4
21.723.2
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Third
15.52.4
11.814.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
red by 3.2
9991
#15
12.32.2
11.914.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned