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Red34
609917.2
557725.6
835219.2
Blue28
786515.9
47588.6
999112.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77270501001503428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
4Coral scored#2
14Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
18Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points0
34Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.62.4
25.723.3
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 9.7
7865
#11
15.90.6
16.616.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Second
8352
#16
19.22.4
22.620.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End1.3
red by 7.0
9991
#15
12.30.7
12.812.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Third
17.22.4
19.817.4
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 8.6
4758
#19
8.60.6
7.06.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed