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Red54
828044.1
56427.5
60962.3
Blue28
468026.7
267324.2
97518.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586902004006008001,0005428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
29Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
54Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.0
43.343.3
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
red by 17.5
4680
#12
26.72.5
29.827.3
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Second
5642
#14
7.50.0
8.48.5
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 16.7
24.22.5
25.222.7
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Third
6096
#20
2.30.0
1.71.7
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
blue by 6.5
9751
#18
8.82.5
7.44.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed