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Red74
97518.8
557725.6
661623.3
Blue73
719622.3
999711.5
267324.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5557203040507080901007473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
58Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
74Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.5
23.724.2
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 1.4
24.20.4
23.824.2
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Second
23.30.5
21.421.9
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
red by 1.0
7196
#13
22.30.4
22.022.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Third
9751
#18
8.80.5
6.97.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0
blue by 2.7
9997
Unranked
11.50.6
10.911.5
Auto1.8
Teleop9.2
End0.1