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Red89
309629.2
12327.8
47588.6
Blue101
97518.8
557725.6
661623.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6755020408010012014089101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
69Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points6
89Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.6
28.729.2
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End1.0
red by 3.6
25.60.9
24.225.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
Second
123
#2
27.80.6
27.227.8
Auto8.3
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 4.5
23.30.9
21.922.8
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Third
4758
#19
8.60.6
8.08.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 0.2
9751
#18
8.80.9
7.48.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0