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Red74
309629.2
12327.8
47588.6
Blue57
468026.7
363213.8
999112.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615402040801001207457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
54Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
74Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.3
27.127.4
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End1.0
red by 2.5
4680
#12
26.70.1
27.327.3
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Second
123
#2
27.80.3
25.625.9
Auto8.3
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 13.9
3632
#17
13.80.1
14.514.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.1
Third
4758
#19
8.60.3
6.46.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 3.7
9991
#15
12.30.1
13.013.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End1.9