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Red144
170179.9
99937.7
828044.1
Blue48
719622.3
999711.5
267324.2
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14741010020025030014448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+88Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
25Coral points3
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
17Coral scored#6
60Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
12Processor points0
24Net points12
36Algae points12
96Total teleop33
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#3
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
144Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.5
77.778.1
Auto23.6
Teleop46.9
End9.4
red by 55.7
24.20.1
23.223.1
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Second
44.10.5
41.942.4
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
red by 21.8
7196
#13
22.30.1
21.421.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Third
9993
Unranked
7.70.8
4.04.8
Auto0.3
Teleop6.6
End0.4
blue by 3.8
9997
Unranked
11.50.2
9.99.6
Auto1.8
Teleop9.2
End0.1