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Red107
309629.2
12327.8
47588.6
Blue74
97518.8
557725.6
661623.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6351020408010012010774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
67Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +33
20Foul points0
107Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.6
27.428.0
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End1.0
red by 3.6
25.60.5
23.023.6
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
Second
123
#2
27.80.6
25.926.5
Auto8.3
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 4.5
23.30.5
20.721.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Third
4758
#19
8.60.6
6.87.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 0.2
9751
#18
8.80.5
6.26.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0