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Red138
661560.9
925226.6
296047.8
Blue89
170164.4
765635.0
485124.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14913510020013889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points30
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +43
19Coral scored#11
68Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#1
6Processor points12
24Net points4
30Algae points16
98Total teleop55
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#6
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
138Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.1
60.960.9
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
blue by 3.5
64.40.8
65.364.4
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
Second
47.80.1
47.747.8
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
red by 12.8
35.00.8
35.835.0
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End9.1
Third
9252
#27
26.60.1
26.626.6
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End2.2
red by 2.2
4851
#35
24.50.8
25.324.5
Auto3.4
Teleop18.6
End2.5