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Red131
661560.9
925226.6
296047.8
Blue126
170164.4
765635.0
485124.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15113650100200250131126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+9Teleop
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
29Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points58
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
24Processor points12
16Net points12
40Algae points24
92Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
131Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.2
61.160.9
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
blue by 3.5
64.40.0
65.365.3
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
Second
47.80.2
48.047.7
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
red by 12.8
35.00.0
35.835.8
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End9.1
Third
9252
#27
26.60.2
26.826.6
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End2.2
red by 2.2
4851
#35
24.50.0
25.325.3
Auto3.4
Teleop18.6
End2.5