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Red141
170164.4
765635.0
485124.5
Blue111
786519.5
719643.1
553047.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711550100150200141111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+16Teleop
+36Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points20
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
78Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points6
141Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.3
64.965.3
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
red by 16.8
5530
#11
47.60.1
47.747.6
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
Second
35.00.3
35.535.8
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End9.1
blue by 8.1
43.10.1
43.343.1
Auto7.4
Teleop30.3
End5.5
Third
4851
#35
24.50.3
25.025.3
Auto3.4
Teleop18.6
End2.5
red by 4.9
7865
#30
19.50.1
19.719.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End2.3