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Red153
786519.5
719643.1
553047.6
Blue150
440543.2
714517.9
557746.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12212690100110130140150160170153150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
33Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
24Coral scored#24
86Coral points87
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
106Total teleop119
Reef
13L4#9
6L3#7
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points4
153Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#11
47.60.8
47.047.7
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
red by 1.5
46.10.6
45.446.1
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End2.4
Second
43.10.8
42.543.3
Auto7.4
Teleop30.3
End5.5
blue by 0.1
43.20.6
42.543.2
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.3
Third
7865
#30
19.50.8
18.919.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End2.3
red by 1.7
7145
#22
17.90.6
17.217.9
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2