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Red163
661560.9
925226.6
296047.8
Blue140
170164.4
765635.0
485124.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150135100200163140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+15Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
9Coral scored#7
43Coral points37
43Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +9
24Coral scored#15
86Coral points53
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
12Processor points24
8Net points20
20Algae points44
106Total teleop97
Reef
15L4#6
8L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#31
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
163Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.6
60.561.1
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
blue by 3.5
64.40.3
64.664.9
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
Second
47.80.6
47.348.0
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
red by 12.8
35.00.3
35.135.5
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End9.1
Third
9252
#27
26.60.6
26.226.8
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End2.2
red by 2.2
4851
#35
24.50.3
24.625.0
Auto3.4
Teleop18.6
End2.5