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Red100
1057715.5
222438.4
267330.4
Blue42
661621.7
475816.2
439011.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions743302040608010012014010042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
54Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
32Foul points0
100Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2224
#12
38.40.7
27.428.1
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
red by 16.7
6616
#17
21.70.8
16.717.5
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0
Second
2673
#15
30.40.7
16.417.1
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End2.5
red by 14.2
4758
#26
16.20.8
9.210.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
15.50.7
13.614.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
red by 4.0
4390
#37
11.40.8
4.04.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed