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Red92
786519.5
719643.1
590131.0
Blue56
170164.4
561910.5
771622.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75950501509256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
70Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
92Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.3
28.529.8
Auto7.4
Teleop30.3
End5.5
blue by 21.3
64.41.9
51.649.7
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
Second
5901
#24
31.01.3
25.226.5
Auto2.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
red by 8.8
7716
#32
22.21.9
19.417.5
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
Third
7865
#30
19.51.3
18.519.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End2.3
red by 9.0
5619
#36
10.51.9
13.811.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed