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Red84
296047.8
363226.4
485414.9
Blue132
575623.4
714517.9
440543.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676320408010012014084132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+44
Endgame+46
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +30
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
61Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points2
84Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.6
38.439.0
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
red by 4.6
43.23.8
36.940.7
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.3
Second
3632
#31
26.40.6
14.615.2
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5
red by 3.0
23.43.8
16.320.2
Auto5.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Third
4854
#34
14.90.6
8.38.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 2.9
7145
#22
17.93.8
5.08.8
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned