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Qual 142025 FIM District Renaissance Event presented by DTE Foundation
Red48
817933.6
309626.1
769212.4
Blue64
439011.4
569531.8
835228.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655002040801001201404864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+12
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
6Coral scored#8
20Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
30Total teleop43
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points4
48Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#21
33.60.8
29.7→28.9
Auto3.6
Teleop25.0
End5.0
red by 1.8
5695
#8
31.80.8
22.0→22.8
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
Second
3096
#25
26.10.8
14.3→13.5
Auto3.5
Teleop21.4
End1.2
blue by 2.7
8352
#14
28.90.8
21.8→22.6
Auto5.7
Teleop21.8
End1.3
Third
7692
#38
12.40.8
16.3→15.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.0
red by 1.0
4390
#37
11.40.8
4.8→5.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed