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Red75
363226.4
557746.1
661621.7
Blue96
836227.4
1057715.5
440543.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78850501001502007596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+17
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +3
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
69Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
75Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.3
37.437.7
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End2.4
red by 2.9
43.21.4
40.742.1
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.3
Second
3632
#31
26.40.3
15.215.5
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5
blue by 1.0
8362
#19
27.41.4
20.521.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.5
End2.5
Third
6616
#17
21.70.3
17.517.8
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0
red by 6.2
15.51.4
14.315.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed