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Red76
590131.0
817933.6
363226.4
Blue79
296047.8
476818.1
661621.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768140601001201407679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#13
32Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
50Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
76Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#21
33.60.3
28.929.2
Auto3.6
Teleop25.0
End5.0
blue by 14.2
47.80.2
40.240.4
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
Second
5901
#24
31.00.3
27.527.7
Auto2.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
red by 9.3
6616
#17
21.70.2
17.818.0
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0
Third
3632
#31
26.40.3
15.515.8
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5
red by 8.3
4768
#20
18.10.2
18.018.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned