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Red20
25916.8
519718.6
222438.4
Blue15
361910.1
485414.9
561910.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54320204060801001202015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
1Coral scored#1
5Coral points2
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop2
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
20Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2224
#12
38.41.8
30.528.7
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
red by 23.5
4854
#34
14.91.2
8.97.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Second
5197
#16
18.61.8
11.29.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.8
red by 8.1
5619
#36
10.51.2
12.811.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Third
2591
#28
6.81.8
5.33.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 3.4
3619
#33
10.11.2
10.69.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed