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Red94
267330.4
439011.4
20487.3
Blue64
9416.2
485124.5
714517.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34500204060801001209464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
64Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
12Foul points0
94Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2673
#15
30.42.3
18.120.4
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End2.5
red by 5.9
4851
#35
24.50.2
18.819.1
Auto3.4
Teleop18.6
End2.5
Second
4390
#37
11.42.3
5.57.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 6.5
7145
#22
17.90.2
9.39.5
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
Third
2048
#13
7.32.3
8.210.5
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End0.9
blue by 8.9
94
#23
16.20.2
15.215.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed