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Red88
519718.6
561910.5
363226.4
Blue122
170164.4
557746.1
25916.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3010805010015088122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+42
Endgame+52
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +32
0Leave9
2Coral scored#7
12Coral points35
12Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +10
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
54Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
18Foul points0
88Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3632
#31
26.41.8
15.817.6
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5
blue by 38.0
64.41.7
48.650.3
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
Second
5197
#16
18.61.8
9.411.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.8
blue by 27.4
46.11.7
38.139.9
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End2.4
Third
5619
#36
10.51.8
11.713.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.6
red by 3.8
2591
#28
6.81.7
3.55.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsEarned