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Red82
835228.9
296047.8
309626.1
Blue69
785620.2
771622.2
661621.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90510204060801001201401608269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points44
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
18Processor points0
16Net points4
34Algae points4
65Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
82Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.1
40.440.4
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
red by 25.7
7716
#32
22.21.1
17.919.0
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
Second
8352
#14
28.90.1
24.925.0
Auto5.7
Teleop21.8
End1.3
red by 7.2
6616
#17
21.71.1
18.019.1
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0
Third
3096
#25
26.10.1
15.615.7
Auto3.5
Teleop21.4
End1.2
red by 5.9
7856
#18
20.21.1
17.118.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed