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Red52
561910.5
309626.1
9416.2
Blue38
60964.5
476818.1
363226.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041102030506070805238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +15
5Coral scored#4
19Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
37Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
52Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3096
#25
26.10.7
11.612.3
Auto3.5
Teleop21.4
End1.2
blue by 0.3
3632
#31
26.40.1
14.514.6
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5
Second
94
#23
16.20.7
16.317.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 1.9
4768
#20
18.10.1
16.216.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Third
5619
#36
10.50.7
13.113.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.6
red by 6.1
6096
#39
4.50.1
6.26.3
Auto3.3
Teleop0.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed