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Red118
661560.9
20487.3
557746.1
Blue83
769212.4
661621.7
222438.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112625010015020011883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +20
19Coral scored#15
67Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
95Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#4
8L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
118Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.9
51.352.2
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
red by 22.5
2224
#12
38.40.9
26.627.4
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
Second
46.10.8
34.935.8
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End2.4
red by 24.4
6616
#17
21.70.9
15.816.7
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0
Third
2048
#13
7.30.8
4.95.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End0.9
blue by 5.1
7692
#38
12.40.9
15.816.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed