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Red98
835228.9
1057715.5
170164.4
Blue43
925226.6
786519.5
714517.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983702060801201401609843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#6
46Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
64Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
98Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.8
50.851.6
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
red by 37.8
9252
#27
26.60.1
18.918.7
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End2.2
Second
8352
#14
28.90.8
19.620.4
Auto5.7
Teleop21.8
End1.3
red by 9.4
7865
#30
19.50.1
18.618.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End2.3
Third
15.50.8
12.813.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 2.4
7145
#22
17.90.1
5.15.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed