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Red32
590131.0
439011.4
771622.2
Blue33
361910.1
475816.2
575623.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6435020801001201403233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
24Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
32Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#24
31.01.4
26.625.2
Auto2.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
red by 7.6
23.40.1
16.316.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Second
7716
#32
22.21.4
20.819.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
red by 5.9
4758
#26
16.20.1
9.29.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
4390
#37
11.41.4
5.34.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End0.4
red by 1.3
3619
#33
10.10.1
6.76.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed6%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed