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Red74
765635.0
485414.9
553219.1
Blue71
719643.1
476818.1
785620.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406702060801001207471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
42Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points4
74Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.02.3
24.126.4
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End9.1
blue by 8.1
43.10.8
27.728.5
Auto7.4
Teleop30.3
End5.5
Second
5532
#10
19.12.3
9.511.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
blue by 1.1
7856
#18
20.20.8
11.512.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Third
4854
#34
14.92.3
6.08.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 3.2
4768
#20
18.10.8
16.317.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsEarned