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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341040501502008496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +24
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
52Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
16Foul points0
84Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.82.0
20.022.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
blue by 29.1
60.90.6
52.252.8
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
Second
3096
#25
26.12.0
12.314.3
Auto3.5
Teleop21.4
End1.2
blue by 7.4
8179
#21
33.60.6
29.129.7
Auto3.6
Teleop25.0
End5.0
Third
2048
#13
7.32.0
5.77.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End0.9
red by 0.5
2591
#28
6.80.6
6.26.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned