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Red64
361910.1
569531.8
1057715.5
Blue30
20487.3
60964.5
590131.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5542020801001206430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
7Coral scored#3
25Coral points9
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
39Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
64Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.9
23.924.8
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
red by 0.8
5901
#24
31.00.8
27.726.9
Auto2.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
Second
15.50.9
17.818.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
red by 8.2
2048
#13
7.30.8
10.59.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Third
3619
#33
10.10.9
9.510.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 5.7
6096
#39
4.50.8
4.53.6
Auto3.3
Teleop0.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed