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Red73
714517.9
475816.2
267330.4
Blue104
485124.5
817933.6
485414.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4666020408010012014073104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
11Coral scored#16
40Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
60Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
73Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2673
#15
30.40.9
20.421.4
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End2.5
blue by 3.2
8179
#21
33.61.9
29.231.0
Auto3.6
Teleop25.0
End5.0
Second
7145
#22
17.90.9
9.510.4
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
blue by 6.6
4851
#35
24.51.9
19.120.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.6
End2.5
Third
4758
#26
16.20.9
11.112.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 1.3
4854
#34
14.91.9
7.79.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed