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Red50
925226.6
553047.6
25916.8
Blue108
661621.7
553219.1
661560.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions679720408012014016050108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+58
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +54
3Coral scored#16
12Coral points56
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
20Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points18
50Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#11
47.61.0
40.839.7
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
blue by 13.3
60.90.2
53.753.8
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
Second
9252
#27
26.61.0
19.818.7
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End2.2
red by 4.9
6616
#17
21.70.2
19.119.2
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0
Third
2591
#28
6.81.0
5.24.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 12.4
5532
#10
19.10.2
14.915.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed