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Red107
714517.9
170164.4
785620.2
Blue100
590131.0
769212.4
553047.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9288607080100110120130107100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+5
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
60Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
107Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.41.9
50.352.2
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
red by 16.8
5530
#11
47.61.1
39.740.9
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
Second
7856
#18
20.21.9
18.220.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 10.7
5901
#24
31.01.1
26.928.0
Auto2.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
Third
7145
#22
17.91.9
10.412.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
red by 5.4
7692
#38
12.41.1
16.217.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed