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Red50
765635.0
309626.1
60964.5
Blue68
475816.2
222438.4
786519.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516402040801001201405068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
7Coral scored#10
24Coral points37
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
28Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
50Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.3
31.731.4
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End9.1
blue by 3.4
2224
#12
38.40.4
29.730.1
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
Second
3096
#25
26.10.3
15.715.4
Auto3.5
Teleop21.4
End1.2
red by 6.6
7865
#30
19.50.4
17.117.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End2.3
Third
6096
#39
4.50.3
3.63.3
Auto3.3
Teleop0.6
End0.5
blue by 11.8
4758
#26
16.20.4
12.012.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed