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Red37
9416.2
836227.4
361910.1
Blue40
20487.3
561910.5
440543.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52690204060801001201403740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
18Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
37Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8362
#19
27.41.3
24.423.1
Auto7.4
Teleop17.5
End2.5
blue by 15.7
43.21.9
38.836.9
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.3
Second
94
#23
16.21.3
16.515.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
red by 5.6
5619
#36
10.51.9
13.511.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Third
3619
#33
10.11.3
10.39.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 2.8
2048
#13
7.31.9
9.77.8
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed