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Red87
222438.4
476818.1
771622.2
Blue61
25916.8
714517.9
1057715.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8335020601001201408761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points22
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
69Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points10
87Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2224
#12
38.40.6
30.130.7
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
red by 20.6
7145
#22
17.90.5
12.312.8
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
Second
7716
#32
22.20.6
20.120.7
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
red by 6.7
15.50.5
18.018.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Third
4768
#20
18.10.6
18.619.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 11.3
2591
#28
6.80.5
4.24.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed