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Red108
20487.3
835228.9
575623.4
Blue79
439011.4
519718.6
557746.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6480204010012014010879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
20Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
70Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
14Foul points0
108Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8352
#14
28.91.9
25.727.6
Auto5.7
Teleop21.8
End1.3
blue by 17.2
46.10.4
41.942.3
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End2.4
Second
23.41.9
23.024.9
Auto5.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
red by 4.7
5197
#16
18.60.4
12.312.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Third
2048
#13
7.31.9
7.99.8
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End0.9
blue by 4.1
4390
#37
11.40.4
11.311.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned