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Red120
485124.5
170164.4
475816.2
Blue125
661560.9
296047.8
769212.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961246080140160180120125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#19
50Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
76Total teleop85
Reef
5L4#8
8L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points8
120Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.42.1
52.955.0
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
red by 3.5
60.90.3
55.155.4
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
Second
4851
#35
24.52.1
22.324.4
Auto3.4
Teleop18.6
End2.5
blue by 23.3
47.80.3
39.840.1
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
Third
4758
#26
16.22.1
13.415.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 3.8
7692
#38
12.40.3
17.818.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned