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Red54
925226.6
361910.1
785620.2
Blue129
309626.1
714517.9
719643.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51722040608010012054129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+63
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +59
7Coral scored#15
24Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#8
6Processor points12
8Net points32
14Algae points44
38Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
54Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9252
#27
26.60.5
19.418.9
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End2.2
blue by 16.5
43.13.4
34.537.9
Auto7.4
Teleop30.3
End5.5
Second
7856
#18
20.20.5
20.319.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 5.9
3096
#25
26.13.4
16.019.4
Auto3.5
Teleop21.4
End1.2
Third
3619
#33
10.10.5
9.59.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 7.7
7145
#22
17.93.4
12.816.2
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned