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Red43
1057715.5
771622.2
575623.4
Blue89
817933.6
9416.2
553047.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6999204060801201401604389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+48
Fouls+46
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points10
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
4Coral scored#10
13Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
19Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points0
43Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.5
24.923.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 24.3
5530
#11
47.60.2
40.941.1
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
Second
7716
#32
22.21.5
20.719.2
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
blue by 11.4
8179
#21
33.60.2
28.829.0
Auto3.6
Teleop25.0
End5.0
Third
15.51.5
18.516.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 0.7
94
#23
16.20.2
16.316.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned