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Red22
769212.4
785620.2
60964.5
Blue79
296047.8
20487.3
519718.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447402060801001201402279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+45
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +34
2Coral scored#8
6Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
6Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
22Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7856
#18
20.21.4
19.818.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 27.6
47.81.1
40.141.2
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
Second
7692
#38
12.41.4
18.116.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.0
blue by 6.2
5197
#16
18.61.1
12.713.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Third
6096
#39
4.51.4
4.53.2
Auto3.3
Teleop0.6
End0.5
blue by 2.8
2048
#13
7.31.1
9.810.9
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned