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Red121
361910.1
309626.1
661560.9
Blue54
485414.9
1057715.5
9416.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10147015012154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+67Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points32
3Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
18Processor points0
24Net points4
42Algae points4
85Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#3
7L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
121Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.91.7
55.457.1
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
red by 44.8
94
#23
16.20.2
16.516.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Second
3096
#25
26.11.7
19.421.1
Auto3.5
Teleop21.4
End1.2
red by 10.7
15.50.2
16.916.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Third
3619
#33
10.11.7
9.010.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 4.8
4854
#34
14.90.2
11.911.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed