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Red88
575623.4
485124.5
661621.7
Blue56
714517.9
561910.5
836227.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8158020401001201408856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
75Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
88Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4851
#35
24.50.8
24.425.2
Auto3.4
Teleop18.6
End2.5
blue by 3.0
8362
#19
27.40.2
25.825.6
Auto7.4
Teleop17.5
End2.5
Second
23.40.8
23.324.1
Auto5.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
red by 5.5
7145
#22
17.90.2
16.216.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
Third
6616
#17
21.70.8
20.821.5
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0
red by 11.2
5619
#36
10.50.2
8.48.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed