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Red75
569531.8
25916.8
476818.1
Blue83
557746.1
590131.0
475816.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions501000204060801201401607583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
48Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points6
75Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.6
27.428.9
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
blue by 14.3
46.10.7
42.341.6
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End2.4
Second
4768
#20
18.11.6
17.318.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End3.0
blue by 12.9
5901
#24
31.00.7
29.128.4
Auto2.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
Third
2591
#28
6.81.6
7.08.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 9.5
4758
#26
16.20.7
15.514.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned