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Red119
817933.6
267330.4
835228.9
Blue133
553047.6
363226.4
222438.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88110406080100120140160119133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
19Coral scored#21
68Coral points77
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
6Processor points18
20Net points16
26Algae points34
94Total teleop111
Reef
8L4#12
5L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points2
119Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#21
33.62.6
29.031.6
Auto3.6
Teleop25.0
End5.0
blue by 14.0
5530
#11
47.62.3
41.143.4
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
Second
2673
#15
30.42.6
25.327.9
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End2.5
blue by 8.1
2224
#12
38.42.3
31.533.8
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
Third
8352
#14
28.92.6
25.828.4
Auto5.7
Teleop21.8
End1.3
red by 2.5
3632
#31
26.42.3
23.726.0
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed