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Red41
439011.4
786519.5
1057715.5
Blue100
719643.1
661621.7
519718.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4885020406010012014016041100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+49
Endgame+57
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points7
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +48
4Coral scored#13
16Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
20Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points2
41Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7865
#30
19.50.3
19.419.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End2.3
blue by 23.6
43.11.7
37.939.5
Auto7.4
Teleop30.3
End5.5
Second
15.50.3
16.816.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 6.2
6616
#17
21.71.7
21.523.2
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0
Third
4390
#37
11.40.3
10.09.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 7.2
5197
#16
18.61.7
13.815.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned