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Red71
569531.8
9416.2
475816.2
Blue53
575623.4
785620.2
561910.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67530204060801001207153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+24Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +23
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
49Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points6
71Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.7
28.929.7
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
red by 8.4
23.40.2
24.123.9
Auto5.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Second
4758
#26
16.20.7
14.915.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 4.0
7856
#18
20.20.2
18.418.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Third
94
#23
16.20.7
16.317.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
red by 5.6
5619
#36
10.50.2
8.27.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed