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Red86
661621.7
714517.9
569531.8
Blue84
9416.2
575623.4
363226.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807340601001201408684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+12
Endgame+4
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
58Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points0
86Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.3
29.729.4
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
red by 5.4
3632
#31
26.40.4
24.024.4
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5
Second
6616
#17
21.70.3
23.222.9
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0
blue by 1.7
23.40.4
23.924.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Third
7145
#22
17.90.3
16.015.7
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
red by 1.7
94
#23
16.20.4
17.117.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed