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Red103
267330.4
557746.1
836227.4
Blue169
661560.9
439011.4
170164.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11014780100120160180200220103169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+62
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
3Coral scored#9
17Coral points45
26Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +34
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points53
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#8
12Processor points24
8Net points32
20Algae points56
75Total teleop109
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points0
103Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.3
41.641.3
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End2.4
blue by 18.4
64.42.2
59.862.0
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
Second
2673
#15
30.40.3
27.927.6
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End2.5
blue by 30.6
60.92.2
58.160.3
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
Third
8362
#19
27.40.3
26.926.6
Auto7.4
Teleop17.5
End2.5
red by 16.0
4390
#37
11.42.2
8.510.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed